Official AMFI data
Arthkar
Crash case study · real NAV data

How Baroda BNP Paribas Banking and Financial Services Fund survived The 2015-16 China Slowdown

China devalued the yuan, crude collapsed, and global growth fears dragged the Sensex down 23% over 11 slow, grinding months. No single dramatic day — just a long test of patience that shook out momentum chasers.

The fall

-32.3%

2 Mar 201525 Feb 2016

Index fell

-23%

Sensex, peak to trough

Recovery time

6 mo

peak regained 6 Sept 2016

₹1L at the peak → today

₹2,81,250

worst-possible timing, held on

The full round trip

NAV from 2 Mar 2015 to 6 Sept 2016 — peak ₹17.53, bottom ₹11.86, peak regained 6 Sept 2016.

The ₹1 lakh stress test — invested at the worst possible moment

Invested at the pre-crash peak (2 Mar 2015)₹1,00,000
Value at the bottom (25 Feb 2016)₹67,655
Value one year after the peak₹74,501
Value today (3 Jul 2026)₹2,81,250

The lesson isn't that crashes don't hurt — it's that selling at the bottom turns a temporary fall into a permanent loss. The investor who bought at the absolute worst day and simply held is in profit today.

The unluckiest SIP experiment

Imagine starting a ₹10,000/month SIP on the exact peak day — the single unluckiest start date possible — and continuing for 24 months straight through the crash:

Invested

₹2,40,000

Worth today

₹7,61,978

Return

+217%

Crash-month installments bought units cheap — that's the whole SIP thesis, demonstrated with real data instead of a brochure.

This fund in other crashes

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All figures computed from published AMFI NAV history for Baroda BNP Paribas Banking and Financial Services Fund. Past performance — including past recoveries — does not guarantee future results. This is educational research, not investment advice. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks.