Official AMFI data
Arthkar
Crash case study · real NAV data

How SBI PSU Fund survived The 2015-16 China Slowdown

China devalued the yuan, crude collapsed, and global growth fears dragged the Sensex down 23% over 11 slow, grinding months. No single dramatic day — just a long test of patience that shook out momentum chasers.

The fall

-26%

4 Aug 201512 Feb 2016

Index fell

-23%

Sensex, peak to trough

Recovery time

7 mo

peak regained 7 Sept 2016

₹1L at the peak → today

₹3,41,915

worst-possible timing, held on

The full round trip

NAV from 2 Mar 2015 to 7 Sept 2016 — peak ₹10.0984, bottom ₹7.4696, peak regained 7 Sept 2016.

The ₹1 lakh stress test — invested at the worst possible moment

Invested at the pre-crash peak (4 Aug 2015)₹1,00,000
Value at the bottom (12 Feb 2016)₹73,968
Value one year after the peak₹92,747
Value today (3 Jul 2026)₹3,41,915

The lesson isn't that crashes don't hurt — it's that selling at the bottom turns a temporary fall into a permanent loss. The investor who bought at the absolute worst day and simply held is in profit today.

The unluckiest SIP experiment

Imagine starting a ₹10,000/month SIP on the exact peak day — the single unluckiest start date possible — and continuing for 24 months straight through the crash:

Invested

₹2,40,000

Worth today

₹8,59,349

Return

+258%

Crash-month installments bought units cheap — that's the whole SIP thesis, demonstrated with real data instead of a brochure.

This fund in other crashes

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All figures computed from published AMFI NAV history for SBI PSU Fund. Past performance — including past recoveries — does not guarantee future results. This is educational research, not investment advice. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks.