Official AMFI data
Arthkar
Crash case study · real NAV data

How SBI CONTRA FUND survived The 2018 NBFC Crisis

IL&FS defaulted and India's shadow-banking system seized up. While the Sensex fell a modest 14%, mid- and small-cap funds crashed 25-40% — the crash that taught a generation the difference between index pain and portfolio pain.

The fall

-15%

31 Aug 20189 Oct 2018

Index fell

-14%

Sensex, peak to trough

Recovery time

25 mo

peak regained 17 Nov 2020

₹1L at the peak → today

₹3,24,958

worst-possible timing, held on

The full round trip

NAV from 1 Aug 2018 to 17 Nov 2020 — peak ₹115.6916, bottom ₹98.3292, peak regained 17 Nov 2020.

The ₹1 lakh stress test — invested at the worst possible moment

Invested at the pre-crash peak (31 Aug 2018)₹1,00,000
Value at the bottom (9 Oct 2018)₹84,993
Value one year after the peak₹82,051
Value today (3 Jul 2026)₹3,24,958

The lesson isn't that crashes don't hurt — it's that selling at the bottom turns a temporary fall into a permanent loss. The investor who bought at the absolute worst day and simply held is in profit today.

The unluckiest SIP experiment

Imagine starting a ₹10,000/month SIP on the exact peak day — the single unluckiest start date possible — and continuing for 24 months straight through the crash:

Invested

₹2,40,000

Worth today

₹9,06,745

Return

+278%

Crash-month installments bought units cheap — that's the whole SIP thesis, demonstrated with real data instead of a brochure.

This fund in other crashes

Other Value / Contra funds in this crash

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All figures computed from published AMFI NAV history for SBI CONTRA FUND. Past performance — including past recoveries — does not guarantee future results. This is educational research, not investment advice. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks.