Official AMFI data
Arthkar
Crash case study · real NAV data

How DSP Value Fund survived The 2022 Rate-Hike Correction

Inflation surged after the pandemic, the US Fed hiked at the fastest pace in 40 years, and FIIs sold Indian equities for 9 straight months. A slow-bleed correction that punished the frothiest corners of the 2021 bull run.

The fall

-16.8%

18 Oct 202120 Jun 2022

Index fell

-17%

Sensex, peak to trough

Recovery time

10 mo

peak regained 2 May 2023

₹1L at the peak → today

₹1,72,947

worst-possible timing, held on

The full round trip

NAV from 1 Oct 2021 to 2 May 2023 — peak ₹13.677, bottom ₹11.381, peak regained 2 May 2023.

The ₹1 lakh stress test — invested at the worst possible moment

Invested at the pre-crash peak (18 Oct 2021)₹1,00,000
Value at the bottom (20 Jun 2022)₹83,213
Value one year after the peak₹93,814
Value today (2 Jul 2026)₹1,72,947

The lesson isn't that crashes don't hurt — it's that selling at the bottom turns a temporary fall into a permanent loss. The investor who bought at the absolute worst day and simply held is in profit today.

The unluckiest SIP experiment

Imagine starting a ₹10,000/month SIP on the exact peak day — the single unluckiest start date possible — and continuing for 24 months straight through the crash:

Invested

₹2,40,000

Worth today

₹4,27,793

Return

+78%

Crash-month installments bought units cheap — that's the whole SIP thesis, demonstrated with real data instead of a brochure.

This fund in other crashes

Other Value / Contra funds in this crash

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All figures computed from published AMFI NAV history for DSP Value Fund. Past performance — including past recoveries — does not guarantee future results. This is educational research, not investment advice. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks.