Official AMFI data
Arthkar
Crash case study · real NAV data

How Motilal Oswal ELSS Tax Saver Fund survived The 2022 Rate-Hike Correction

Inflation surged after the pandemic, the US Fed hiked at the fastest pace in 40 years, and FIIs sold Indian equities for 9 straight months. A slow-bleed correction that punished the frothiest corners of the 2021 bull run.

The fall

-22%

17 Jan 202217 Jun 2022

Index fell

-17%

Sensex, peak to trough

Recovery time

6 mo

peak regained 14 Dec 2022

₹1L at the peak → today

₹1,96,413

worst-possible timing, held on

The full round trip

NAV from 1 Oct 2021 to 14 Dec 2022 — peak ₹28.3316, bottom ₹22.0874, peak regained 14 Dec 2022.

The ₹1 lakh stress test — invested at the worst possible moment

Invested at the pre-crash peak (17 Jan 2022)₹1,00,000
Value at the bottom (17 Jun 2022)₹77,960
Value one year after the peak₹95,634
Value today (3 Jul 2026)₹1,96,413

The lesson isn't that crashes don't hurt — it's that selling at the bottom turns a temporary fall into a permanent loss. The investor who bought at the absolute worst day and simply held is in profit today.

The unluckiest SIP experiment

Imagine starting a ₹10,000/month SIP on the exact peak day — the single unluckiest start date possible — and continuing for 24 months straight through the crash:

Invested

₹2,40,000

Worth today

₹4,80,693

Return

+100%

Crash-month installments bought units cheap — that's the whole SIP thesis, demonstrated with real data instead of a brochure.

This fund in other crashes

Other ELSS Tax Saver funds in this crash

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All figures computed from published AMFI NAV history for Motilal Oswal ELSS Tax Saver Fund. Past performance — including past recoveries — does not guarantee future results. This is educational research, not investment advice. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks.