Official AMFI data
Arthkar
Crash case study · real NAV data

How Union Small Cap Fund survived The 2022 Rate-Hike Correction

Inflation surged after the pandemic, the US Fed hiked at the fastest pace in 40 years, and FIIs sold Indian equities for 9 straight months. A slow-bleed correction that punished the frothiest corners of the 2021 bull run.

The fall

-20%

17 Jan 202220 Jun 2022

Index fell

-17%

Sensex, peak to trough

Recovery time

3 mo

peak regained 7 Sept 2022

₹1L at the peak → today

₹1,89,771

worst-possible timing, held on

The full round trip

NAV from 1 Oct 2021 to 7 Sept 2022 — peak ₹33.24, bottom ₹26.58, peak regained 7 Sept 2022.

The ₹1 lakh stress test — invested at the worst possible moment

Invested at the pre-crash peak (17 Jan 2022)₹1,00,000
Value at the bottom (20 Jun 2022)₹79,964
Value one year after the peak₹93,923
Value today (3 Jul 2026)₹1,89,771

The lesson isn't that crashes don't hurt — it's that selling at the bottom turns a temporary fall into a permanent loss. The investor who bought at the absolute worst day and simply held is in profit today.

The unluckiest SIP experiment

Imagine starting a ₹10,000/month SIP on the exact peak day — the single unluckiest start date possible — and continuing for 24 months straight through the crash:

Invested

₹2,40,000

Worth today

₹4,54,215

Return

+89%

Crash-month installments bought units cheap — that's the whole SIP thesis, demonstrated with real data instead of a brochure.

This fund in other crashes

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All figures computed from published AMFI NAV history for Union Small Cap Fund. Past performance — including past recoveries — does not guarantee future results. This is educational research, not investment advice. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks.